Thursday, December 24, 2009

NFL Week 16 picks.....

Week 16 picks (Home team in CAPS)

TITANS (-3) over Chargers
Yes, the Chargers have won nine in a row, but their defense is still a weak link. The Titans pass defense has been good, but Tennessee has some defensive injuries and will also be tested. With Chris Johnson so close to 2000 rushing yards and very close to breaking Marshall Faulk's yard from scrimmage record, San Diego will see a very heavy dose of #28.

PACKERS (-14) over Seahawks
Green Bay looks to bounce back after the tough loss to Pittsburgh and takes it out on a poor Seattle defense. Look for the Packers to have big offensive numbers.

Raiders (NL) over BROWNS
Giving the Raiders some holiday love after their come from behind upset win in Denver on Sunday. The Browns will have to play this game, and the rest of the season, without Brady Quinn who has an injured foot. As long as Oakland keep the ball away from Joshua Cribbs, they should win the game.

Chiefs (+14) over BENGALS
The Chiefs are bad, but they have shown they can score some points. Cincinnati is coming off the tough loss in San Diego, and then Chris Henry's funeral on Tuesday. Bengals win, but their distractions will make it close.

Bills (+8 1/2) over FALCONS
Atlanta got the win last week against the Jets, but did not look like world beaters on the offensive side of the ball. Buffalo has been playing better, and keeps it close against the Falcons.

DOLPHINS (-3) over Texans
A furious 18 point comeback by Miami last week against Tennessee was wasted when Chad Henne was picked off in overtime. Andre Johnson has been a monster for Houston, and will give the Dolphin rookie DBs a handful. That said, the Dolphins keep the turnovers to a minimal and get back on track to keep their playoff hopes alive.

Panthers (+7) over GIANTS
Carolina starting to play better football under quarterback Matt Moore and will keep this close. The Giants played a great game against a bad Redskin team on Monday Night, but will be in a tougher fight as they look to keep pace in the NFC Wildcard race.

SAINTS (-14 1/2) over Bucs
We'll see how the Saints react after suffering their first loss of the year. Having Tampa Bay in town as your opponent after that defeat is the best medicine New Orleans could have wished for, and they will roll in a big victory.

Jaguars (+8) over PATRIOTS
Jacksonville was "oh so close" to beating the Colts last Thursday night, and now they travel to New England to face the Patriots. The Jaguars are part of that 7-7 mess of teams in the AFC, but the Patriots will get the close home win and stay ahead of the others in the AFC East.

STEELERS (-2 1/2) over Ravens
The Steelers were seconds away from packing for the holidays, but the Mike Wallace touchdown catch as time expired to beat the Packers, when added to the losses suffered by the other AFC teams, has given Pittsburgh new life. The defending champions take advantage of that life and beat their division foes.

EAGLES (-7) over Broncos
Someone still has to explain to me how Denver allowed Oakland to comeback on Denver's own home field and get that victory last Sunday. I've been with the Broncos much of the year, but I think that was the beginning of the end for their playoff chances. Meanwhile, Philadelphia is playing their best football of the year. The Eagles win and upset the Brian Dawkins homecoming.

CARDINALS (-14) over Rams
St. Louis played Arizona tough a few weeks ago in their place, but this time the game is in the desert. The Cardinals have clinched the NFC West, but they play hard and try to fine tune themselves in order to make another long playoff run.

49ERS (-12) over Lions
Even though this is a large number, the Lions are pretty bad, while the 49ers offense can put up points when Alex Smith is not turning the ball over to his opponents. This week they keep the ball and get a big win.

COLTS (-5 1/2) over Jets
I might have leaned towards the Jets in this one if not for the poor performance last Sunday at home against Atlanta. Peyton Manning now says he would like to stay undefeated, and it seems what Peyton wants, Peyton gets. Colts end the day 15-0, and one win away from regular season perfection.

REDSKINS (+7) over Cowboys
Dallas has the huge win over New Orleans on Saturday night, and should roll over a Redskin team who looked terrible Monday night, but there is just something that says Washington keeps this close and cares the Cowboys and their fans. Dallas wins in the end, but they sweat it out.

BEARS (+7) over Vikings
Trouble in Minnesota paradise between Brett Favre and Brad Childress and how the offense is game planned and the audibles. The Vikings are better then the Bears, but with this is another outdoor game for the Vikings and they have not looked good in their last two played in nature. Bears play hard against a division rival for Lovie Smith.

Week 15 record (9-6-1)
2009 season (68-64-2)

2 comments:

NFL Draft said...

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